Archived: Seahawks vs Rams Betting Preview

December 4, 2019

Seattle is expected to draw the bulk of the action early in the week at the modest number and could close closer to 3-point favorites. The five-game win streak, division lead and victory in the season’s first head-to-head meeting all point to the outright win for the visitors. The Over should also be a popular play early in the week, with the number likely to rise north of 50 by Sunday.

Seahawks vs. Rams game matchup

The Rams offense broke out in Week 13 with the 34-point output being their highest total since Week 7. They rank 12th in the NFL with 23.6 points per game after finishing the 2018 season second with 32.0 PPG and leading the NFL in 2017. QB Jared Goff threw his first two touchdowns since Oct. 27 in the victory. His 424 yards represented his second-highest game total of the season, and his 120.7 passer rating was his best of the year.

The Seahawks rank fifth in the league with 27.4 PPG and third with 390.3 total yards of offense. QB Russell Wilson is a strong MVP candidate with 3,177 yards and 26 touchdowns against just four interceptions through 12 games. He has added 284 yards and three scores on the ground.

Only seven teams are averaging fewer rushing yards per game than the Rams’ 94.2 as Todd Gurley has just 642 yards on the ground after topping 1,100 in three of his first four seasons. The Seahawks rank third in the NFL with 143.7 yards per game on the ground with the two-headed attack of Chris Carson and Rashaad Penny. They’ve had a 100-yard rusher in six of 12 games.

Neither team has been impressive defensively. The Rams allow 327.0 total yards of offense per game with 20.8 PPG allowed. The Seahawks allow 368.9 yards and 24.4 points per game. Both teams have been worse against the pass than the run. Seattle is plus-10 by turnover differential with 27 takeaways (11 interceptions and 16 fumble recoveries) against 17 giveaways (four INTS and 13 fumbles). Los Angeles has a minus-4 differential with 20 giveaways and 16 takeaways.

The Rams were without TE Gerald Everett (knee) and OT Rob Havenstein (knee) in Week 13 but both could return this week. The Seahawks are at relatively full health and avoided scare Monday after Carson briefly went down in the first half after a collision with teammate Jacob Hollister.

Sunday Night Football betting breakdown

The Seahawks’ victory in Week 5 snapped a three-game winning streak for the Rams in the head-to-head series. They’ve won two of the three previous meetings in Los Angeles. The last four games between the two rivals each played to a total of at least 49 points. Two of the last three games were decided by either two or one point(s). The other was a 36-31 victory for LA last November. The Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings, the underdog is 4-1 against the spread in the last five, and the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five.

The Rams have a 5-4 record against shared opponents while the Seahawks are 7-2. Seattle is the only team in the league with a perfect road record this season at 6-0. LA is just 3-3 at home. The Seahawks are 7-5 against the spread, winning by an average of three points per game and covering the spread by 0.7 PPG. The Rams are 8-4 ATS overall, though they win by 2.8 PPG they fail to cover by an average of 0.7 PPG.

Seattle is 7-5 against the Over/Under and tops the projections by an average of 4.5 PPG. Los Angeles is just 4-8 against the projections and falls an average of 3.7 points shy of the number. Games at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum have gone 2-3 against the O/U.

The total of 47.5 matches the Rams’ closing number against the Cardinals. They’ve had just two lower numbers all year. The Seahawks have closed with six lower projections. They played to the Over in three of their last four games while scoring at least 27 points in all but one of their last five victories. The Rams fell short of the projection in six of their last seven outings.

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